Monday, 28 November 2011

Chinese have been reading the Development textbooks


One of the pieces of advice given to Less Developed Countries (LDC's) by the 'First World' in the 1960's was to invest in 'leading sectors'. This was based on the view that certain sectors have high second round effects and so a high multiplier value.

While this advice was largely ineffective, and in many cases disastrous, the idea of government intervention and 'unbalanced growth' to kick start under developed economies has remained in the literature. Clearly the Chinese have read about it as they now wish to invest in British infrastructure in order to help boost economic growth.

The Chinese are, of course, acting in their own best interests. They need Europe to grow so they can buy more Chinese goods. They also need somewhere to invest their considerable wealth. They have established 'sovereign wealth funds' to do this, a very sensible move as China cannot possibly use all the profits currently earned by their exports.

There are several ideas to explore here. Will there really be a big multiplier effect as a result of the proposed new investment? Is this the golden goose the Public Private Partnership programme has been looking for (it has totally failed to attract significant private funds for nearly ten years)? Are sovereign wealth funds a good idea? And of course how long has China considered the UK an LDC?

Whatever the answers it is clear that old copies of Todaro have a ready market in China.

No comments:

Post a Comment